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	<title>buyer&#8217;s market &#8211; Refined Real Estate Team</title>
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	<title>buyer&#8217;s market &#8211; Refined Real Estate Team</title>
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		<title>Should you take that lowball offer?</title>
		<link>https://www.refinedrealestateteam.com/should-you-take-that-lowball-offer/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jeffrey Luciano]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Aug 2025 13:22:04 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Buying]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Market Stats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Secrets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Selling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[buyer's market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[low ball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[negotiation]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.refinedrealestateteam.com/?p=14006</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In our current market, sellers are receiving lowball offers on their homes.  Here are the three questions you need to answer to decide what to do with the offer!]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="fusion-fullwidth fullwidth-box fusion-builder-row-1 fusion-flex-container nonhundred-percent-fullwidth non-hundred-percent-height-scrolling" style="--awb-border-radius-top-left:0px;--awb-border-radius-top-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-left:0px;--awb-flex-wrap:wrap;" ><div class="fusion-builder-row fusion-row fusion-flex-align-items-flex-start fusion-flex-content-wrap" style="max-width:1144px;margin-left: calc(-4% / 2 );margin-right: calc(-4% / 2 );"><div class="fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-0 fusion_builder_column_1_1 1_1 fusion-flex-column" style="--awb-bg-size:cover;--awb-width-large:100%;--awb-margin-top-large:0px;--awb-spacing-right-large:1.92%;--awb-margin-bottom-large:20px;--awb-spacing-left-large:1.92%;--awb-width-medium:100%;--awb-spacing-right-medium:1.92%;--awb-spacing-left-medium:1.92%;--awb-width-small:100%;--awb-spacing-right-small:1.92%;--awb-spacing-left-small:1.92%;"><div class="fusion-column-wrapper fusion-column-has-shadow fusion-flex-justify-content-flex-start fusion-content-layout-column"><div class="fusion-text fusion-text-1"><p>We’re currently in a buyer’s market in Toronto and the GTA as a whole. Whether is the number of active listings, the months of inventory or the sale to list price ratio, all of the stats clearly position us in a buyer’s market.</p>
<p>Such a market, where there are more sellers than buyers, is characterized by properties sitting on the market for a long time.  With so many choices for buyers – and so few buyers for the number of properties for sale – we’re seeing lots of buyers making lowball offers.</p>
<p>As the name implies, a lowball offer is an offer significantly below the asking price of the property.  Depending on which side of the transaction you’re on, it’s either a predatory attempt to “steal” a home for sale at a bargain price, or a fair offer relative to the market conditions.</p>
<p>In a buyer’s market, all offers need to be considered and we’ve helped a lot of our seller clients decide on whether a lowball offer they’ve received is worth taking.</p>
<p>Here are the three things you need to know so you can decide what to do with a lowball offer.</p>
<h3>What does it cost to keep on, keeping on?</h3>
<p>Lowball offers most often come during a buyer’s market, in which properties take a lot longer to sell.  As such, the carrying cost – and lost opportunity cost – of the home need to factor into your decision.</p>
<p>On the carrying cost side, all properties have ongoing costs you need to pay during your ownership.  If you’re still living in the home during the listing period, this is often not considered, but it should be a part of your decision process.</p>
<p>Whether it is property taxes, utilities, maintenance fees (for condo or parcel-of-tied-land properties), upkeep costs, mortgage payments or rental contracts, it can cost a lot to stay in a home.  When you’re living there it is simply part of your cost of living, but once you’ve made the decision to sell the home, you need to compare your carrying costs against what it would cost once you’ve sold the home.  If this is a secondary home, or an investment property and you’re not buying another property, then any continued expenditures on the property you’re selling are just reducing your eventual funds received from the sale.</p>
<p>In all cases, you absolutely have carrying costs that give no ongoing value to you as the seller.  You need to pay them while you own the property, but the sooner you sell, the sooner you stop paying those costs.  It is very useful to have that cost determined so that you understand what your monthly, weekly and daily costs are to continue to own the home.</p>
<p>A large part of carrying costs is typically mortgage payments, so a quick note on how to include them in your calculation.  All mortgage payments have a principal component, so while the interest part of your mortgage payment is simply a cost, the principal you pay each month increases your equity in the home.  Your carrying cost calculations should remove the principal component if you want a true cost of what you’re paying to continue to own the home.  The principal component you’ve paid over time and the equity in your home is, however, crucial to the second question you need to answer.</p>
<h3>What are you going to do with the money when you sell?</h3>
<p>In a buyer’s market, where homes take a while to sell, you will see properties for sale for months, sometimes even years.  Most sellers look at the sale price as a static number and don’t consider the length of time it takes to sell.  As we discussed above, there are carrying costs for all properties that effectively reduce your eventual sale proceeds.</p>
<p>What is often overlooked is where the money in your home is going when you sell.  If you are retiring or downsizing, you will have a chunk of change as a result of the sale.  While investing risk levels – and investment returns – vary based on your preferences, there are a lot of ways in which the money could earn you more money once you have it.</p>
<p>It’s August 2025 as we write this article, and many banks are offering special savings rates to customers.  We saw an offer today for a 4.90% interest rate for three months on a deposit into a savings account with a major bank.  If a home took three months to sell, consider what the seller could have made if they’d taken an offer on the first day.</p>
<p>At the 4.9% interest rate offered, every $100,000 of equity in the home would have earned about $408 a month.  That’s about $14 a day.  Not exactly a windfall, but many of our clients have significant equity in their home after years of ownership.  If you have $500,000 you’ll clear from a sale, you could earn over $2,000 a month on it by depositing into a savings account like in the offer above.  That’s $68 a day you’re foregoing by holding on to the home.  Obviously, the higher the equity you have in a home – and the intended investment opportunity – the more money you’re losing by having those funds trapped in a home that isn’t selling.</p>
<p>It is a very useful exercise to speak with your financial advisor to discuss specifics of what you could earn on the proceeds of sale from your home.  It allows you to accurately assess how much a quicker sale – or closing – is worth to you.  Sellers often agree to a sale date without much consideration of how much it is costing them from either a carrying cost perspective, or a lost income perspective.  A buyer who wants an extra month or two for closing can easily mean thousands of dollars less in a seller’s pocket when the full costs are considered.</p>
<p>When we hear sellers say things like “I’m not in a rush, I know it will take a while to get the price I want”, we always discuss what they intend to do with their funds, but there is another critical aspect to that comment that needs to be addressed.  The above statement has an assumption built in to it, that the market isn’t shifting and that the seller getting the price they want is simply a matter of waiting until the right buyer appears.  Let’s talk about our final crucial question, as that assumption can be very wrong.</p>
<h3>Where is the market going next?</h3>
<p>The hard truth of real estate is that whether a price is fair, low, or high is a backwards looking exercise.  Market value is simply what the market will pay, so when people argue about a buyer paying below (or above) what it’s “worth”, it is very much a subjective exercise.</p>
<p>As real estate agents who work every day with buyers and sellers, a critical part of our job is assessing value.  Our buyer clients want to make sure they aren’t overpaying and our seller clients want to make sure they’re not undervaluing their home.  We do hundreds of home valuations a year for seller clients and we do even more analyses of potential purchase options for our buyer clients.  In all cases, we are very clear that the value we’re assigning to a property is for right now – and just right now.</p>
<p>Real estate markets do shift and when they do, they are often a very local shift.  The market as a whole may be doing one thing, while a particular street, building or neighbourhood may be doing something quite different.  In one Toronto neighbourhood, we saw a significant shift down in buyer activity over the past few months, and a corresponding drop in the prices home were receiving.  A home that could have received $1.6M in the spring got offers of $1.45M in the summer.  A seller who was waiting for the market to improve rather than accepting the current value of their home would not be able to move forward with their plans.</p>
<p>Consider the condo seller who wasn’t in a hurry to sell a year ago and didn’t like the offers being received.  If they decided to wait until the market improved, they are now in a worse situation than a year ago.  They cannot get the sale price they could have got a year ago and the natural question to ask is what will it look like a year from now?</p>
<p>While real estate prices in the GTA have <a href="https://www.refinedrealestateteam.com/how-much-have-house-prices-risen-per-year-in-the-last-45-years/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">gone up 7% a year on average over the past 45 years</a>, that is simply an average.</p>
<p>In seven of those 45 years, the average price dropped and even in years in which it went up, there are always considerable fluctuations during the year.  Take a look at the average price in Toronto in the last two years to see what we mean!</p>
<p><img decoding="async" class="alignnone size-fusion-600 wp-image-14008" src="https://www.refinedrealestateteam.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/Toronto-Average-Sale-Price-600x221.jpg" alt="" width="600" height="221" srcset="https://www.refinedrealestateteam.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/Toronto-Average-Sale-Price-200x74.jpg 200w, https://www.refinedrealestateteam.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/Toronto-Average-Sale-Price-300x110.jpg 300w, https://www.refinedrealestateteam.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/Toronto-Average-Sale-Price-400x147.jpg 400w, https://www.refinedrealestateteam.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/Toronto-Average-Sale-Price-600x221.jpg 600w, https://www.refinedrealestateteam.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/Toronto-Average-Sale-Price-768x282.jpg 768w, https://www.refinedrealestateteam.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/Toronto-Average-Sale-Price-800x294.jpg 800w, https://www.refinedrealestateteam.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/Toronto-Average-Sale-Price-1200x441.jpg 1200w, https://www.refinedrealestateteam.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/Toronto-Average-Sale-Price-1536x565.jpg 1536w, https://www.refinedrealestateteam.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/Toronto-Average-Sale-Price.jpg 1657w" sizes="(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px" /></p>
<p>Whenever someone says “I’ll sell my home when it is worth X”, they can absolutely get the price they want – but it might take years.  Real estate does go up over time, so a seller who needs a particular price can get it eventually.</p>
<p>At the same time as that is true, it is also true that waiting until the market shifts to bring you the price you want can put a seller into an untenable situation.  A seller who says “I’m in no rush” can feel very different four months into the listing process, where the mortgage rate they locked in has expired, the commute to their new job has doubled, the line of credit rate has increased and so forth.</p>
<p>All of our seller clients receive updates from us on the state of their market.  Not the market as a whole, not the average change, but what is specifically going on in their market, with their competition.  We use the predictive stats to say what is coming next in terms of prices and work with our sellers to make choices on what will get the property sold.  We believe that assumptions need to be validated before they’re relied upon – and if the market is dropping, waiting until it returns to the old price or goes above it is a dangerous game.</p>
</div><div class="fusion-separator fusion-has-icon fusion-full-width-sep" style="align-self: center;margin-left: auto;margin-right: auto;margin-top:10px;margin-bottom:35px;width:100%;"><div class="fusion-separator-border sep-single sep-solid" style="--awb-height:20px;--awb-amount:20px;--awb-sep-color:#af2026;border-color:#af2026;border-top-width:1px;"></div><span class="icon-wrapper" style="border-color:#af2026;background-color:#ffffff;font-size:15px;width: 1.75em; height: 1.75em;border-width:1px;padding:1px;margin-top:-0.5px"><i class="fa-home fas" style="font-size: inherit;color:#af2026;" aria-hidden="true"></i></span><div class="fusion-separator-border sep-single sep-solid" style="--awb-height:20px;--awb-amount:20px;--awb-sep-color:#af2026;border-color:#af2026;border-top-width:1px;"></div></div><div class="fusion-text fusion-text-2"><p>If you receive a lowball offer on your home, answering the above three questions can put you in a position to best decide what to do with it.  By knowing your carrying costs, what your proceeds of sale could earn, and where the market is going next, you can assign a true value to the offer.  If you are thinking of making a move, then you should work with agents who think about the best way to get you moving.  <a href="https://www.refinedrealestateteam.com/contact-us/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Get in touch with us</a> to start the ball rolling!</p>
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			</item>
		<item>
		<title>Look, it’s simple.  I sell, then you sell, and so on.</title>
		<link>https://www.refinedrealestateteam.com/look-its-simple-i-sell-then-you-sell-and-so-on/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jeffrey Luciano]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 May 2025 21:10:20 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Buying]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Secrets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Selling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[buyer's market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[conditional]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[escape clause]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[long closing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[risky]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sale of buyer's property]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SBP]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.refinedrealestateteam.com/?p=13884</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In our current market, we’re seeing sales happen that are conditional upon the sale of the buyer’s property.  Here’s how it works and the three rules that must be followed.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="fusion-fullwidth fullwidth-box fusion-builder-row-2 fusion-flex-container nonhundred-percent-fullwidth non-hundred-percent-height-scrolling" style="--awb-border-radius-top-left:0px;--awb-border-radius-top-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-left:0px;--awb-flex-wrap:wrap;" ><div class="fusion-builder-row fusion-row fusion-flex-align-items-flex-start fusion-flex-content-wrap" style="max-width:1144px;margin-left: calc(-4% / 2 );margin-right: calc(-4% / 2 );"><div class="fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-1 fusion_builder_column_1_1 1_1 fusion-flex-column" style="--awb-bg-size:cover;--awb-width-large:100%;--awb-margin-top-large:0px;--awb-spacing-right-large:1.92%;--awb-margin-bottom-large:0px;--awb-spacing-left-large:1.92%;--awb-width-medium:100%;--awb-spacing-right-medium:1.92%;--awb-spacing-left-medium:1.92%;--awb-width-small:100%;--awb-spacing-right-small:1.92%;--awb-spacing-left-small:1.92%;"><div class="fusion-column-wrapper fusion-flex-justify-content-flex-start fusion-content-layout-column"><div class="fusion-text fusion-text-3" style="--awb-text-transform:none;"><p>One of the hallmarks of a buyer’s market is the return of a conditional clause called the Sale of Buyer’s Property (or SBP for short).</p>
<p>As the name states, this clause makes the firm purchase of another property conditional upon the sale of their own home.</p>
<p>Here’s the typical wording of the clause.</p>
<p><em>This Offer is conditional upon the sale of the Buyer’s property known as ___________________. Unless the Buyer gives notice in writing delivered to the Seller personally or in accordance with any other provisions for the delivery of notice in this Agreement of Purchase and Sale or any Schedule thereto not later than <time> on that this condition is fulfilled, this Offer shall be null and void and the deposit shall be returned to the Buyer in full without deduction. This condition is included for the benefit of the Buyer and may be waived at the Buyer’s sole option by notice in writing to the Seller as aforesaid within the time period stated herein.</time></em></p>
<p>It isn’t unusual for the conditional period end date to be two to three months away, as the buyer wants enough time in a slow market to make sure they can sell their own home at a price that allows them to move forward with the purchase of the other property.</p>
<p>While an SBP can be a useful approach to get a deal done, there are three rules that need to be followed in order for it to make sense for the seller.  Let’s get into it.</p>
<h3>Rule #1 – Its gotta be a good offer.</h3>
<p>This may seem basic, but it is surprising how often buyer agents don’t understand that in order for a seller to accept a SBP, it needs to be a good offer.  The reason for this is simple – a deal that is conditional for a number of months is inherently less appealing than a firm deal or a deal that has a short conditional period of a few days.  Here’s why:</p>
<ul>
<li>A seller who accepts a SBP is entering into an extended period of uncertainty. They cannot make firm plans for their next steps, as the deal is conditional and may not take place.</li>
<li>In many cases, due to the nature of a SBP, the closing is longer than the typical 45 to 60 days you would see from a buyer who is ready to move forward with the purchase. If a longer close works for the seller, than this may not be an issue, but if the seller would prefer to move on quickly, a SBP is unappealing.</li>
<li>You’re putting your fate in the hands of other people, specifically the realtor that lists the buyer’s home for sale – and you better hope they know what they’re doing.</li>
<li>You’re missing out on the possibility of another buyer who doesn’t require this condition showing up and potentially a better deal.</li>
</ul>
<p>Given the inherent drawbacks to accepted a SBP, an offer that comes in with this condition needs to make up for it in other ways.  The price, deposit and any other conditions need to be very appealing to make up for the uncertainty of delaying the sure sale of the home for months.</p>
<h3>Rule #2 – The buyer’s place being sold better be…well, sellable.</h3>
<p>We mentioned above how when a seller accepts an offer with a SBP condition, they’re relying on the agent that the buyer hires to sell the property in question.  Whenever we’re entertaining the possibility of a SBP condition for one of our seller’s we have a very frank conversation about who is listing the buyer’s property for sale.  If it is an inexperienced or discount agent with no track record – or even worse, a poor track record – it makes it even riskier to sign off on the deal with this condition.</p>
<p>In addition to the agent who we’re trusting has the ability to sell the buyer’s home in a timely fashion, we also need to look at the property itself.  The type of property (condo or freehold), the style (detached, semi-detached, townhouse, etc.), the attributes (does it have enough bedrooms, washrooms, parking and so forth) and the condition (updated or just dated) all play into how long it can take for a property to sell.</p>
<p>In essence, if a seller is going to agree to a deal with a SBP condition, they basically need the listing agent for the buyer’s property to present to the seller.  If you wouldn’t ever hire that agent to sell a home, or it’s a property that is largely unappealing to the majority of the market, then saying no to the deal is the best approach.</p>
<h3>Rule #3 – The conditional deal has to include an escape clause.</h3>
<p>Our final rule has to do with a way to somewhat mitigate the downsides of accepting a deal with a SBP condition.  There is a clause that can and should be inserted in all deals that are conditional upon a SBP, and that is what’s called an escape clause.</p>
<p>Here’s the wording for it.</p>
<p><em>Provided further that the Seller may continue to offer the property for sale and, in the event the Seller receives another Offer satisfactory to the Seller, the Seller may so notify the Buyer in writing by delivery to the Buyer personally or in accordance with any other provisions for the delivery of notice in this Agreement of Purchase and Sale or any Schedule thereto. The Buyer shall have __________ hours from the giving of such notice to waive or remove this condition by notice in writing delivered to the Seller personally or in accordance with any other provisions for the delivery of notice in this Agreement of Purchase and Sale or any Schedule thereto, failing which this Offer shall be null and void, and the Buyer’s deposit shall be returned in full without deduction.</em></p>
<p>The number of hours for an escape clause is typically either 48 or 72 hours, so it gives the original buyer two to three days to either waive the condition and firm up the deal, or they have to let the deal die.</p>
<p>We’ve previously written about escape clauses in detail and you’re welcome to read that article here so you understand how they work.</p>
<div class="video-shortcode">
<blockquote class="wp-embedded-content" data-secret="4tEat64ZsL">
<p><a href="https://www.refinedrealestateteam.com/the-great-escape/">The great escape!</a></p>
</blockquote>
<p><iframe class="wp-embedded-content" sandbox="allow-scripts" security="restricted"  title="&#8220;The great escape!&#8221; &#8212; Refined Real Estate Team" src="https://www.refinedrealestateteam.com/the-great-escape/embed/#?secret=KUVVPOB65K#?secret=4tEat64ZsL" data-secret="4tEat64ZsL" width="600" height="338" frameborder="0" marginwidth="0" marginheight="0" scrolling="no"></iframe></div>
<p>By including an escape clause in the Agreement of Purchase and Sale along with the SBP condition, it does a few things of benefit to the seller.</p>
<ul>
<li>It allows the property to be marked SCE (sold conditionally with an escape clause) rather than SC (sold conditionally). While many buyers don’t want to see a home that is sold conditionally, for fear of falling in love with a property they can’t buy, a home that is marked SCE is much more likely to be able to be bought.  Escape clauses are only really added for conditional sales with long conditional periods, so it communicates to other agents that this home is still very much available.</li>
<li>It puts pressure on the buyer to actually get their home sold. When a buyer knows that at any moment, the seller of the home could receive an offer and negotiate it, it means that the urgency is there for the buyer to price their home aggressively and to seriously make the efforts necessary to get it sold.</li>
<li>Finally, and most fundamentally, it allows the home to be continued to marketed in an appealing fashion to other buyers. Good buyer’s agents know that a home that is sold conditionally with an escape clause is likely a deal that was only accepted because the seller had no other options.  If a new buyer arrives with the ability to offer a firm deal in a timeframe that suits the seller, it is often very much of interest to the seller.</li>
</ul>
<p>While including an escape clause doesn’t mitigate all of the negatives of accepting a deal with a SBP condition, it does make it more appealing for the seller.</p>
</div><div class="fusion-separator fusion-has-icon fusion-full-width-sep" style="align-self: center;margin-left: auto;margin-right: auto;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:15px;width:100%;"><div class="fusion-separator-border sep-single sep-solid" style="--awb-height:20px;--awb-amount:20px;--awb-sep-color:#af2026;border-color:#af2026;border-top-width:1px;"></div><span class="icon-wrapper" style="border-color:#af2026;background-color:#ffffff;font-size:15px;width: 1.75em; height: 1.75em;border-width:1px;padding:1px;margin-top:-0.5px"><i class="fa-home fas" style="font-size: inherit;color:#af2026;" aria-hidden="true"></i></span><div class="fusion-separator-border sep-single sep-solid" style="--awb-height:20px;--awb-amount:20px;--awb-sep-color:#af2026;border-color:#af2026;border-top-width:1px;"></div></div><div class="fusion-text fusion-text-4" style="--awb-text-transform:none;"><p>If you’re thinking about buying or selling in the current market and want to work with agents who understand how creative solutions can sometimes be the way forward, then <a href="https://www.refinedrealestateteam.com/contact-us/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">get in touch</a> with us!</p>
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		<title>It’s a fantastic time to be a certain type of buyer.</title>
		<link>https://www.refinedrealestateteam.com/its-a-fantastic-time-to-be-a-certain-type-of-buyer/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jeffrey Luciano]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Jul 2024 18:38:15 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Buying]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Market Stats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Secrets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Selling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[buyer's market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[first time buyer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[moving up]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.refinedrealestateteam.com/?p=12556</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[While markets differ depending on price point, type of housing and location, we’re finding that right now is a great time to be a particular type of buyer.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="fusion-fullwidth fullwidth-box fusion-builder-row-3 fusion-flex-container nonhundred-percent-fullwidth non-hundred-percent-height-scrolling" style="--awb-border-radius-top-left:0px;--awb-border-radius-top-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-left:0px;--awb-flex-wrap:wrap;" ><div class="fusion-builder-row fusion-row fusion-flex-align-items-flex-start fusion-flex-content-wrap" style="max-width:1144px;margin-left: calc(-4% / 2 );margin-right: calc(-4% / 2 );"><div class="fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-2 fusion_builder_column_1_1 1_1 fusion-flex-column" style="--awb-bg-size:cover;--awb-width-large:100%;--awb-margin-top-large:0px;--awb-spacing-right-large:1.92%;--awb-margin-bottom-large:0px;--awb-spacing-left-large:1.92%;--awb-width-medium:100%;--awb-spacing-right-medium:1.92%;--awb-spacing-left-medium:1.92%;--awb-width-small:100%;--awb-spacing-right-small:1.92%;--awb-spacing-left-small:1.92%;"><div class="fusion-column-wrapper fusion-flex-justify-content-flex-start fusion-content-layout-column"><div class="fusion-text fusion-text-5"><p><span data-contrast="auto">There is a tendency in real estate to talk about “the” market as if there is one, uniform market out there.  </span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<p><span data-contrast="auto">As anyone who has ever considered buying in two different areas will know, geography plays a huge role in how much homes cost – and it is equally impactful when it comes to whether a market is hot or not. </span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<p><span data-contrast="auto">Whether it is one neighbourhood versus another a few minutes away, or two condo buildings on the same street, the market for each can be radically different in terms of composition and activity.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<p><span data-contrast="auto">Similarly, if one looks at the level of competition in a given market, it can vary signficantly at different price points.  In some cases, the entry level price point is quite competitive, whereas the mid-end properties in the same market have few interested buyers.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<p><span data-contrast="auto">Finally, the housing type also plays a big role in the state of the market.  A seller in a neighbourhood full of detached homes at the $1M mark may think “the” market is quite good for sellers, whereas someone trying to get rid of a condo in the $600K range may be seeing tons of competition and great difficulty in selling at the desired price.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<p><span data-contrast="auto">Apart from these specific aspects that determine how a given market is defined, we wanted to go over the the types of markets that exist – and why, right now, it’s a very good time to be a certain type of buyer.  </span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<p><span data-contrast="auto">Let’s get into it!</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<h3><span data-contrast="auto">This ain’t no Farmer’s Market.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></h3>
<p><span data-contrast="auto">In real estate terms, we have three types of markets that exist when we’re talking about the conditions in the market.  This is a very broad approach, but it is useful to quickly review what they are and who they benefit.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<p><span data-contrast="none">In a buyer’s market, with lots of inventory and few buyers looking for properties, it’s a great time to be one of the few people interested in buying real estate.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<ul>
<li data-leveltext="" data-font="Symbol" data-listid="18" data-list-defn-props="{" aria-setsize="-1" data-aria-posinset="2" data-aria-level="1"><span data-contrast="none">In a seller’s market, with little inventory and many buyers on the hunt, it’s a great time to be a seller who has a property available for buyers to fight over.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li data-leveltext="" data-font="Symbol" data-listid="18" data-list-defn-props="{" aria-setsize="-1" data-aria-posinset="3" data-aria-level="1"><span data-contrast="none">In a balanced market, with a decent number of homes for sale and a reasonable level of active buyers looking to purchase a home, it’s OK to be on either side.  As a seller, you’re not making out like a bandit, but neither are you forced to accept a lower sale price as the only option.  As a buyer, you have a good number of options for homes, but other people are also looking, and you can’t low-ball your way to a bargain purchase.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></li>
</ul>
<p><span data-contrast="none">There you have it.  In simple terms, if you’re a seller, you want a seller’s market, if you’re a buyer, you want a buyer’s market.  If you can’t have what you want, a balanced market is next best.  So, what sort of market do we have these days?</span><span data-ccp-props="{">  Despite the time of year, it is not, in fact, a Farmer&#8217;s Market.</span></p>
<h3><span data-contrast="none">The Summer of 2024 Welcomes you to a Buyer’s Market!</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></h3>
<p><span data-contrast="none">Every month we do a <a href="https://www.refinedrealestateteam.com/market/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">review of the markets with the GTA</a>, including Toronto, Peel, Halton, York, Durham, Dufferin and Simcoe.  </span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<p><span data-contrast="none">When we reviewed the June, 2024 market stats, we looked at three key stats that identify what type of market we’re in these days.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<p><span data-contrast="none">The first is Sales to New Listing Ratio, or SNLR.  The SNLR tells us how many of the sales we saw this month came from new listings, versus existing listings that had been on the market from previous months.  </span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<ul>
<li data-leveltext="" data-font="Symbol" data-listid="19" data-list-defn-props="{" aria-setsize="-1" data-aria-posinset="1" data-aria-level="1"><span data-contrast="none">If the SNLR is around 50%, we have a balanced market, with sales equal to half the number of new listings coming on the market. A good amount of sales and a good amount of new options means reasonable price increases.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></li>
<li data-leveltext="" data-font="Symbol" data-listid="19" data-list-defn-props="{" aria-setsize="-1" data-aria-posinset="1" data-aria-level="1"><span data-contrast="none">Over 50% is heading towards a seller’s market, as we have sales outpacing the new inventory coming on the market. In extreme cases, we can have an SNLR of over 100%, which means we saw more sales in a month than inventory came on the market, meaning next month is very likely to see a price increase.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></li>
<li data-leveltext="" data-font="Symbol" data-listid="19" data-list-defn-props="{" aria-setsize="-1" data-aria-posinset="1" data-aria-level="1"><span data-contrast="none">Under 50% tells us that the we are headed towards a buyer’s market. The lower the SNLR, the more of a net increase in properties available the following month.  This means prices typically drop as buyers react to having lots of choices by pushing down the price they are willing to pay.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></li>
</ul>
<p><span data-contrast="none">As of June, 2024, the average Sales to New Listing Ratio across the GTA was about 36%, putting us firmly into a Buyer’s market.  In most of the markets within the GTA, June was the lowest SNLR this year, so the best Buyer’s market so far this year.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<p><span data-contrast="none">The next stat we look at to determine what type of market we’re in right now is the number of active listings.  This is the number of actual, currently for sale properties at the end of the month.  This number is therefore comprised of the older listings already on the market at the start of the month, plus any new listings that didn’t sell in the month, less any older or new listings that did sell before the end of the month.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<p><span data-contrast="none">In June, 2024, we had almost 22,000 active listings on the market across the GTA.  A year ago, we had just over 14,000 active listings, so buyers have about 9,000 more options this June than a year ago.  Across all of the GTA markets, June, 2024 saw the largest number of active listings in more than two years.  Using this stat, we are most definitely in a Buyer’s market!</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<p><span data-contrast="none">Finally, we look at the Months of Inventory, or MOI.  This statistic tracks how long it would take for all properties for sale in any given market to sell if we stopped having any new listings.  The higher the MOI, the more of a buyer’s market, the lower the MOI, the more of a seller’s market.  Somewhere between three to four months is considered a balanced market, but we’ve often seen below two months in Toronto and most of the GTA.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<p><span data-contrast="none">As of June, 2024, the average Months of Inventory across the GTA was 3.7 months.  While this is towards the high end of what is considered a balanced market, we’re inching into a Buyer’s market according to this statistic.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<p><span data-contrast="none">While a Buyer’s market benefits buyers far more than sellers, there are certain types of buyers that benefit tremendously from the current market conditions we’re seeing.  If you fit into one of these types of buyers, then it’s time to make a move.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<h3><span data-contrast="none">Buh-bye rentals!</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></h3>
<p><span data-contrast="none">The first type of buyer that should be very happy with our current markets in the GTA is the first-time buyer who is currently renting a place.  The level of inventory for properties is at a two-year high, and this is particularly true for condo apartments.  In the city of Toronto there are over 6,200 condo apartments for sale as of the end of June!  The Sale to New Listing Ratio for condo units is 26.5%, which means that very few of the listings on the market are being absorbed each month, which is a great opportunity to push on the purchase price.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<p><span data-contrast="none">If you have been living in a condo unit and paying down a landlord’s mortgage, speak to a mortgage broker ASAP and see if you qualify for buying a place of your own.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<p><span data-contrast="none">The level of options is huge right now and that is true across a number of price points in the condo market.  While markets outside of Toronto have fewer condo units in general, they are also seeing a rise in the number of available condo units for sale.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<h3><span data-contrast="none">Moving on up!</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></h3>
<p><span data-contrast="none">The second type of buyer who is well suited for our current market is the home owner who is looking to move up the property ladder.  Yes, that means we’re saying a certain type of seller can also benefit from this current Buyer’s market!</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<p><span data-contrast="none">We often refer to the spectrum of housing as the property ladder.  Most buyers get on the first rung of the ladder at the lowest price point in the market, and that’s often condo apartments.  Overtime, they move up the ladder, going to a higher price point and often a different housing type.  The next step is typically a townhouse (whether freehold or condo), followed by a semi-detached home and finally the top of the ladder is a detached house.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<p><span data-contrast="none">There is some counter-intuitive logic at play in our suggestion that now is a good time to sell and buy, so let’s go into the specific of what we mean.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<p><span data-contrast="none">A homeowner who owns a condo apartment unit, whether in Toronto or in other parts of the GTA, has seen the value of their condo drop in the past year.   In Toronto, the average price for a condo apartment when down 0.9% in the past year.  In the GTA, it was a bigger drop, going down 2.6% in the past year.  If the property is worth less now than it was a year ago, how on earth is it a good idea to sell now?</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<p><span data-contrast="none">The reason it makes sense is when you take a look at what’s happened in the other housing types on the property ladder.  Let’s use Toronto as our example and talk specific dollars.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<p><span data-contrast="none">The average price for a condo in Toronto as of June, 2024 is $763,000.  A year ago, in June, 2023, it was $770,000, which means that, on average, if you owned a condo in Toronto in the past year, it went down about $7,000, almost 1%.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<p><span data-contrast="none">Let’s look at where the opportunity lies for the average condo apartment owner in Toronto.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<p><span data-contrast="none">In the past year, the average price for a townhouse in Toronto went down 2.7% and the average price for a semi-detached went down 8.9%!  Even detached homes dropped in value more than condo units did, going down 1.6% on average since June, 2023.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<p><span data-contrast="none">Keeping in mind that the average condo in Toronto dropped $7,000, let’s look at what the dollar value difference is for the other housing types.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<ul>
<li data-leveltext="" data-font="Symbol" data-listid="20" data-list-defn-props="{" aria-setsize="-1" data-aria-posinset="1" data-aria-level="1"><span data-contrast="none">Townhouses (condo and freehold types) had an average price of $1,006,000 as of June, 2024, whereas a year ago, in June, 2023, the average price was $1,035,000.  That’s a drop of $29,000 in one year.</span></li>
<li data-leveltext="" data-font="Symbol" data-listid="20" data-list-defn-props="{" aria-setsize="-1" data-aria-posinset="1" data-aria-level="1"><span data-contrast="none">Semi-detached houses in Toronto had an average price of $1,282,000 most recently, but back in June, 2023, they had an average price of $1,408,000.  That’s a drop of $126,000 in one year.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></li>
<li data-leveltext="" data-font="Symbol" data-listid="20" data-list-defn-props="{" aria-setsize="-1" data-aria-posinset="1" data-aria-level="1"><span data-contrast="none">Detached homes in Toronto had an average price in June, 2024 of $1.758M and a year ago, the average price for such homes was $1.787M.  That’s a drop of $29,000 in one year.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></li>
</ul>
<p><span data-contrast="none">The clear winner when you look at the above analysis are semi-detached houses.  If you have the ability to move from a condo apartment to a semi-detached house, you’ll have saved yourself, on average, $119,000.  Sure, you would have lost $7K on the sale of your condo unit, but you would have been able to buy a semi-detached for $126K less than it would have cost you a year ago.</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
<p><span data-contrast="none">Obviously, these are just averages, so any given specific situation might be different, but it is nonetheless fascinating to see where the opportunities exist these days!</span><span data-ccp-props="{"> </span></p>
</div><div class="fusion-separator fusion-has-icon fusion-full-width-sep" style="align-self: center;margin-left: auto;margin-right: auto;margin-top:10px;margin-bottom:35px;width:100%;"><div class="fusion-separator-border sep-single sep-solid" style="--awb-height:20px;--awb-amount:20px;--awb-sep-color:#af2026;border-color:#af2026;border-top-width:1px;"></div><span class="icon-wrapper" style="border-color:#af2026;background-color:#ffffff;font-size:15px;width: 1.75em; height: 1.75em;border-width:1px;padding:1px;margin-top:-0.5px"><i class="fa-home fas" style="font-size: inherit;color:#af2026;" aria-hidden="true"></i></span><div class="fusion-separator-border sep-single sep-solid" style="--awb-height:20px;--awb-amount:20px;--awb-sep-color:#af2026;border-color:#af2026;border-top-width:1px;"></div></div><div class="fusion-text fusion-text-6"><p>In our work with our clients, we love to look into the nitty gritty of what current market conditions mean for their individual circumstances.  While understanding what’s happening in various markets in general is useful, it’s when you dive into the specifics for where you live – and where you want to live – that we identify opportunities.  If that sounds appealing, <a href="https://www.refinedrealestateteam.com/contact-us/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">get in touch with us</a> to go over what’s next for you!</p>
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